This is a multi-part message in MIME format...
------------=_1634289148-119248-244
Content-Type: text/plain
Content-Transfer-Encoding: Quoted-printable
ACUS11 KWNS 150912
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150912 COR
ARZ000-OKZ000-151045-
Mesoscale Discussion 1862
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0412 AM CDT Fri Oct 15 2021
Areas affected...portions of eastern OK into northwest AR
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20
Valid 150912Z - 151045Z
CORRECTED FOR MISSING STATE ID IN SUMMARY
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...A couple of strong to locally damaging gusts are possible
over parts of eastern OK into northwest AR early this morning. The
overall threat is expected to remain marginal and sporadic,
precluding the need for a watch at this time.
DISCUSSION...A well-organized bow continues to shift eastward across
eastern OK early this morning. Radar data from KSRX indicates a
broad, well-defined rear-inflow jet. At least weak low-level
inhibition exists across the region, and convection appears to be
somewhat elevated based on mostly sub-severe measured gusts from
regional OK Mesonet and other observation sites. However, a narrow
corridor of weak instability, along with strong vertical shear, is
maintaining the bow. A measured gust of 61 mph in McIntosh County
around 30 minutes ago suggests at least some localized threat for a
couple of marginally severe wind gusts could persist downstream into
parts of northwest AR over the next couple of hours.
..Leitman/Edwards.. 10/15/2021
...Please see
https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!oPF-N3qaZk3F8kCFLQiD_y6G_YGciSoxswBWxZ9mT8I0Ytw7KOxKa1yf0MY12vF2PGIi-fDB$=
for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...
LAT...LON 35229495 35299549 35629544 35889540 36089496 36229427
36319355 36249318 35959305 35719314 35469335 35369373
35309413 35249450 35249478 35229495=20
------------=_1634289148-119248-244
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII"
Content-Disposition: inline
Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT
= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at
cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. ------------=_1634289148-119248-244--
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)