This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

------------=_1635124689-2133-1277
Content-Type: text/plain
Content-Transfer-Encoding: Quoted-printable

ACUS11 KWNS 250117
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250117=20
ILZ000-MOZ000-250315-

Mesoscale Discussion 1895
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0817 PM CDT Sun Oct 24 2021

Areas affected...southeast Missouri into southern Illinois

Concerning...Tornado Watch 533...

Valid 250117Z - 250315Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 533 continues.

SUMMARY...The greatest tornado threat is currently over southeastern
Missouri, and is expected to shift into southern Illinois.

DISCUSSION...A trio of supercells currently extends from Ste.
Genevieve into Reynolds County MO, with strong mesocyclones noted on
radar. Storm mode appears complex with substantial precipitation
ahead of the circulations.=20

These storms are currently near the instability axis, with MLCAPE
around 1500 J/kg. Dewpoints rapidly decrease toward the Wabash/Lower
Ohio Valleys, but favorable instability should remain in place
toward the MS River and into parts of southern Illinois. Here, 0-1
SRH exceeds 300 m2/s2, which is quite favorable for tornadoes and
supercells producing damaging wind gusts.

..Jewell.. 10/25/2021

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!rLRf91_gRaQ48SA6cnwcdUv-Eg0vcYNTupk6ojxw9DKohik9QFptntuIpF8YiYFtBlhsHA39$=
for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...ILX...LSX...SGF...

LAT...LON 37028960 36829059 36949122 37239123 37709065 38149057
38519017 38808910 38698864 38398841 37688907 37028960=20



------------=_1635124689-2133-1277
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII"
Content-Disposition: inline
Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. ------------=_1635124689-2133-1277--

--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)