This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

------------=_1635129248-2133-1334
Content-Type: text/plain
Content-Transfer-Encoding: Quoted-printable

ACUS11 KWNS 250233
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250233=20
ARZ000-OKZ000-250400-

Mesoscale Discussion 1896
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0933 PM CDT Sun Oct 24 2021

Areas affected...Northern/West-Central AR...Southeast OK

Concerning...Tornado Watch 532...

Valid 250233Z - 250400Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 532 continues.

SUMMARY...Threat for damaging wind gusts and a tornado or two is
expected to continue for the next few hours. An additional watch
will likely be needed over portions of the region before Tornado
Watch 532 expires at 04Z.

DISCUSSION...A broken line of thunderstorms continues to progress
eastward from north-central AR southwestward into southeast OK. A
few storms did show some organization earlier, but now much of the
activity has transitioned back to a somewhat disorganized mode along
the front. The only exception is the cell in Johnson County AR which
has recently strengthened. Additionally, a few more discrete storms
have begun to develop within the warm sector ahead of the line.=20

The low-level kinematic environment throughout the warm sector is
quite impressive. Recent mesoanalysis estimates 0-1 km
storm-relative helicity is over 300 m2/s2 across
north-central/northeast AR. As a result, the threat for tornadoes
still exists with any more discrete storms that can maintain a
robust updraft. Strong wind gusts are the primary threat with any
storms along the front.

Given the current storm motion, expectation for the severe threat to
persist, and a watch expiration time of 04Z, an additional watch
will likely be needed over portions of the region to cover the
continuing threat.

..Mosier.. 10/25/2021

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!r-qdci3elw9YdVSE8HAuqGl8eI4tiyaPYO6lyiWxfux_MV2Y-FZELOi7IK8K5JqiEkE7Vql3$=
for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...

LAT...LON 34749523 35599394 36039345 36419304 36469278 36389108
34849193 34259277 34339536 34749523=20



------------=_1635129248-2133-1334
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII"
Content-Disposition: inline
Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. ------------=_1635129248-2133-1334--

--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)