• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1973

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Fri Dec 10 03:46:03 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 100345
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 100345=20
    FLZ000-ALZ000-100445-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1973
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0945 PM CST Thu Dec 09 2021

    Areas affected...southern Alabama into the western Florida
    Panhandle.

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 100345Z - 100445Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

    SUMMARY...There will be a brief tornado threat across southern
    Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle for the next 1 to 2 hours.

    DISCUSSION...Deepening convection has moved in off the Gulf of
    Mexico and is currently merging with the ongoing convective cluster
    across southern Alabama. This merger, in close proximity to the warm
    front, has led to a small area of low-level rotation near Mobile.
    This will likely be very short lived given the messy storm mode and
    marginal thermodynamic environment. However, a similar airmass
    exists into the western Florida Peninsula and therefore, additional
    storm mergers and strengthening cells in close proximity to the warm
    front could lead to other areas of low-level rotation exhibiting a
    brief tornado threat.

    ..Bentley/Grams.. 12/10/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!rKVkAZTHUeX3AWFH1Z_SIohbXyN8vNfRVbzgzu22rmxEbEsOZCcuM63T751Z6x_wylKk8GWx$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...MOB...

    LAT...LON 30828822 30838769 30718712 30468706 30258744 30278792
    30358825 30648838 30808836 30828822=20



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