• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1995

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat Dec 11 02:48:37 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 110248
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 110248=20
    KYZ000-TNZ000-MOZ000-110345-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1995
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0848 PM CST Fri Dec 10 2021

    Areas affected...Far northwest Tennessee and western Kentucky.

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 552...

    Valid 110248Z - 110345Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 552 continues.

    SUMMARY...The intense tornado threat continues from the long-track
    supercell currently in far northwest Tennessee.

    DISCUSSION...The long-track supercell in northwest Tennessee has
    shown 70+ knot Vrot nearly continuously for the past 90 minutes with
    a nearly continuous and deep TDS for over 80 miles. More storms have
    developed in the vicinity of this storm over the past 30 minutes
    which could disrupt its internal structure and bring an end to the
    steady state structure. However, the downstream environment is still
    very favorable with upper 60 dewpoints and backed surface winds and
    STP around 5 to 6. Therefore, even if the low-level circulation is
    disrupted, additional organization/cycling is likely and the intense
    tornado threat is expected to continue as this supercell continues
    northeast.

    ..Bentley.. 12/11/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!us-u2DcaDEJSa86vR-Yj69W9C9D5y79Isrib08u228TFGGZyleKA_soeo_J_TQQpOy_iPh-2$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...

    LAT...LON 36668822 36388910 36368932 36428945 36508942 36848905
    37048854 37158805 37058778 36898770 36668822=20



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