• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2015

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat Dec 11 08:52:38 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 110852
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 110851=20
    TNZ000-111015-

    Mesoscale Discussion 2015
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0251 AM CST Sat Dec 11 2021

    Areas affected...portions of Middle Tennessee

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 558...

    Valid 110851Z - 111015Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 558 continues.

    SUMMARY...A locally higher threat for damaging gusts and tornadoes
    exists with a supercell structure embedded within the line as it
    approaches the Nashville metropolitan area.

    DISCUSSION...A relatively dominant supercell structure embedded
    within a north-south oriented segment of the squall line has
    exhibited strong low-level rotation, with TDSs noted around 0830Z
    and 0845Z. This storm is progressing in an environment characterized
    by strong low-level shear, with the 0828Z OHX VWP showing a long,
    curved hodograph and over 350 m2/s2 0-1 km SRH. Given low to mid 60s
    F dewpoints residing ahead of the storm, the potential for severe
    wind gusts and tornadoes is expected to continue over the next hour
    or so, when the storm is expected to traverse the Nashville
    Metropolitan area.

    ..Squitieri/Edwards.. 12/11/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!qLA2u1FztcC--3ChIidKokmkBBWNXG_cV7Yt5M4bWFitRZZIZ0aKl14aw_3uR7MuDfKu2n7j$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...OHX...

    LAT...LON 36108732 36428698 36468636 36248603 35938607 35798632
    35798681 35838714 35928741 36108732=20



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