• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2022

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat Dec 11 22:33:12 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 112233
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 112232=20
    SCZ000-GAZ000-120000-

    Mesoscale Discussion 2022
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0432 PM CST Sat Dec 11 2021

    Areas affected...Portions of eastern Georgia

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 112232Z - 120000Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

    SUMMARY...A brief damaging wind/tornado threat exists for the next 1
    to 2 hours across eastern Georgia.

    DISCUSSION...A few mini supercells have developed ahead of a line of
    storms moving through eastern Georgia. One of these mini supercells
    in Wilkinson county had a TDS for around 5 minutes starting around
    2219Z. 0 to 1 km SRH around 150 to 200 m2/s2 at the KJGX VWP shows a
    low-level shear environment favorable for a brief tornado threat to
    continue. Therefore, this storm, and any additional supercells which
    can develop ahead of the line, will pose a threat for a brief
    tornado before the main squall line eventually overtakes these
    storms.

    ..Bentley/Grams.. 12/11/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!tZNn3j_JQGkXBGRVbiEHadfuI7F-XxH8nAF_tIZFK4smd6RdfGryTdMW72RGFmhD1Ykqxwvg$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...FFC...

    LAT...LON 33118314 33428264 33588227 33388194 32958169 32508214
    32258286 32248336 32408380 33118314=20



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