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ACUS11 KWNS 012128
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012127=20
TNZ000-KYZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-012300-

Mesoscale Discussion 0011
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0327 PM CST Sat Jan 01 2022

Areas affected...North/Northeast MS...Northern AL...Middle TN

Concerning...Tornado Watch 3...4...5...

Valid 012127Z - 012300Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 3, 4, 5 continues.

SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorm threat, including the potential for a
tornado, continues ahead of the outflow boundary from northeast MS
across northern AL into middle TN.

DISCUSSION...Despite an abundance of warm sector development, most
of this activity has failed to materialize into supercells thus far.
The only exception is the pair of northeastward moving supercells,
one over far north-central MS and the other over far northwest AL.
Westernmost cell in this pair has begun to interact with the outflow
while the easternmost cell is still slightly ahead of the boundary
and may be able to remain more intense for a bit longer.

While some weakening of the buoyancy has occurred, this narrow
corridor ahead of the outflow still represents the best area for
potential severe thunderstorms for the next few hours.

..Mosier.. 01/01/2022

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!p4zF979E-nO-TaAL4T3-i8rV-H7D9uojwWs8aBCYfpkYT0Ib7jzmM9IZuA7KHN2F9Yceyr7T$=
for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...

LAT...LON 34198907 34468923 34908862 35268692 36278503 36618444
36408378 35908433 34668581 34348721 34198907=20



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